Listen to our insightful podcast where we do a full breakdown of the upcoming tournament: https://soundcloud.com/user-85178626/travelers-championship
It was an incredible tournament last week at the Heritage. I hit the outright winner with Webb Simpson at 25-1, Ian Poulter first round leader at 33-1, and did well with top 20 plays. Looking forward to another winning week at the Travelers Championship.
Chez Reavie is the defending champion of The TPC River Highlands. This is one of the shortest courses on the PGA tour and will be a Par 70. Fairways are much wider so golfers with less driver accuracy don’t have as big of a disadvantage. There’s also short Par 4’s such as Hole 15 which is only 296 yards. I’m really excited to see the bombers such as Dechambeau aim for the green.
In order to succeed at the travelers, players will need to do well off the tee and approaching the green. Iron play and wedges will play a vital role as most shots will land in the fairway. The greens are much larger than in past weeks and are a mixture of Bent and POA meaning the ball will roll faster compared to Bermuda greens which was played on last week. Some golfers have a big discrepancy of success on the difference in greens. (Sungjae Im for example had his worst putting performances on Bermuda greens which is why he has missed the cut two straight years at the Heritage.)
I’m expecting the winning score to be very high, most likely close to the 20 under range. Bombers will have a lot of success on these short par 4’s but course managers will be able to maneuver the course with ease. Chez Reavie for example has the 209th farthest driving distance yet finished 17 under last year. This is a corollary course to the Genesis Invitational and the Valspar Championship – meaning if you play well on those two courses, you’re likely to have success at the River Highlands. I’m also looking out for players who have done well on these courses.
As for the bets, I have outrights posted below along with a 1st round leader, top 20’s, and Head to Heads. Let’s win some money and remember to bet responsibly!
- Austin Tarke
Dustin Johnson: Great number at 28-1. Last week: Gained 5 strokes off the tee and 3 strokes on approach, he couldn’t putt. He will bomb this course. Last weekend shows he starting to heat up.
Morikawa: 33-1. Great ball striker. Makes every cut. Struggled last week but this was because he can’t putt on Bermuda greens.
Patrick Reed: 33-1. If you listened to our podcast you heard our enthusiasm on Patrick Reed. He’s flying a bit under the radar especially after missing the cut last week. He’s been incredible all season long. Great putting, prefers bent greens, and his ranked 9th in total shots gained.
Sungjae Im: 33-1. Dude is a machine, was still at the driving range over the weekend after missing the cut. He struggles at the Heritage is the reason for him missing the cut. Decent performance last year at this event. Has had an incredible season here and I like him to have a bounce back performance.
Marc Leishman: 50-1 (hoping for better number) Great iron player and putter. Can get on a roll at an event like this. Tremendous ball striking and approach to the green this season. Not a good driver but at this event, there’s large enough fairways that it shouldn’t matter. Lot of value on this considering he’s been playing well and already has won an event this season and has two other top 3 finishes. He’s won here before and has finished inside the top-25 in five of his last eight starts at the River Highlands.
Viktor Hovland: 60-1. Started heating up in the last round at Heritage. Incredible ball striking and prefers bent greens. Struggles around the greens but I think the way the course is laid out that he will be able to hit greens from fairways.
Sebastian Munoz (200-1): Favorite play on the card, I think there’s a lot of value at this number also at top 10 and top 20 finishes. Loved his performance last week, consistently played well all week. Already has won an event once this season to prove he has the capability. Has been a tremendous ball striker lately and does well on a short course such as this.
Brian Harmon: 1st round leader, 66-1. Knows this course very well. T-8 and 6th place performances the last two years. Been striking the ball very well and has an incredible short game. I like the price. May bet him for top 20 also.
Head to Head Matchups:
Dechambeau over Rory
Hovland -1.5 over JT Poston
Top 20 Doc Redman 8-1: Great ball striker, tremendous performance last week. Like the value at this number. May also bet 1st round leader.
Tough bet to find. Best golfer by region. Best golfer from Australia. I love Leishman at +135. His main competition is Jason Day and he is not playing good golf as of late. Not to mention I like Leishman this week.