With the first article on here in a while, it is only right that this is going to be full of bets and other picks. Will have a short writeup on every game this weekend. For the best amount of information and favorite picks of the weekend, listen to the College Football Week 7 Picks podcast found below!
Pittsburgh @ Miami (FL) (-13, 47.5)
Coming off a primetime beat down against Clemson last week, I expect Miami to come out a little flat. When I can get Pitt as a big underdog I take it as much as I can. With one of the premier front sevens in the country I expect this game to be ugly, and I will gladly take the points, and even have a Pitt moneyline bet.
Pittsburgh +13, +380
South Florida @ Temple (+13, 53)
Definitely an ugly game that I would not expect anyone except anyone to watch. However, I think this is too many points for a Temple offense that protects the ball but is not explosive. Temple’s defense also ranks very low in total havoc.
South Florida +13
Navy @ East Carolina (+2.5, 55.5)
East Carolina has slowly improved over the past few years, however their starting quarterback tested positive for COVID-19 and I am not looking to back this offense. I will take the under with the triple option burning the clock, especially when East Carolina already saw parts of the triple option against Georgia St. Gun to my head I would go with East Carolina.
Auburn @ South Carolina (+2.5, 52.5)
Covered on the podcast, I am on Auburn here, due mostly to Will Muschamp’s poor record against ranked opponents. Auburn is feeling a lot of heat due to a fraudulent win and a blowout loss against Georgia.
Kansas @ West Virginia (-22.5, 49.5)
I get to fade the worst college football program in America without their head coach at the game? Give me West Virginia.
West Virginia -22.5
Liberty @ Syracuse (+2.5, 54.5)
Syracuse will be missing their All American safety and starting quarterback this week. Liberty has been able to move the ball relatively well. Hugh Freeze has this program in the right direction and it is tough for me to back Syracuse.
Clemson @ Georgia Tech (+27.5, 64.5)
As pointed out on the podcast, I think there is value on Georgia Tech 1H moneyline. Geoff Collins has been doing a fantastic coach reworking this program, and Jeff Sims has improved week by week. I think Clemson could be flat coming off a big win especially in their first non-primetime game in a few weeks.
Georgia Tech 1H +800
Kentucky @ Tennessee (-6.5, 45.5)
My favorite bet this week is Tennessee -5.5. Still like a bet at this number. Kentucky’s offense was better with a receiver at quarterback as opposed to their actual quarterback. Tennessee is 7-0-1 ATS against Kentucky last 8 and 33-2 straight up last 35.
Texas St @ South Alabama (-3.5, 58)
Oh boy. Texas St has been able to score, and has not been able to get consistent stops. Think the over will come home here, if forced to choose.
Western Kentucky @ UAB (-13.5, 44.5)
Think this is the bottom out point for Western Kentucky, especially with such a low total. UAB will be able to control the ball on offense, but I think two touchdowns is enough for Western Kentucky to keep this close.
Western Kentucky +13.5
Army @ UTSA (+8, 49)
Getting more than a touchdown against the triple option is always appealing, especially with a team that has far exceeded expectations this season. Think UTSA will be able to score to hang with Army, and is a live dog in this game.
UTSA +8, +250
Louisville @ Notre Dame (-16.5, 62)
Louisville has been turnover prone and their offensive line has been very disappointing. I really like Notre Dame to control both lines of scrimmage and especially dominate on the ground. Having Ian Book is not a bad feeling either here. Notre Dame big.
Notre Dame -16.5
Duke @ NC St (-4.5, 59)
If you have listened to the podcast you know our disdain for Chase Brice. Really want to continue to fade Duke, and play on what I think will be a higher scoring game.
NC St -4.5, Over 59 (Potentially great live bet game if it seems like it could turn into a blowout)
Ole Miss @ Arkansas (+1.5, 76.5)
The Ole Miss offense continues to be explosive and, Arkansas offense should be able to finish drives and find explosive plays against this horrendous Ole Miss defense. It is a huge total, but I think the over is the only way to play this game.
UCF @ Memphis (+2.5, 76)
One of my favorite plays of the weekend is UCF. They are better coached, have the more explosive offense, and make more plays on defense. If they do not shoot themselves in the foot with penalties, I think they win big here. Another game with good live bet opportunities.
Virginia @ Wake Forest (+1.5, 57)
I love this over, and I am confused as to it continues to move down. Virginia and Wake Forest are 2nd and 3rd in most plays run per game so far this season, indicating a game with pace. I love this over here.
Texas A&M @ Mississippi St (+5, 55.5)
I really do not know what to think about this one. If forced to choose (I am), I will fade A&M off their big win, and take the points with the home team, especially since the SEC is packing these stadiums.
Mississippi St +5
UMass @ Georgia Southern (-31, 61)
Plug your nose and take UMass. A triple option team laying 31 against a horrible team, who will throw the kitchen sink at GA Southern seeing as this is their only scheduled game.
North Texas @ Middle Tennessee St (-6, 72)
Two bad defenses against teams with high paces? Over.
Marshall @ LA Tech (+13.5, 48.5)
Marshall’s defense has been dominant, and I expect that to continue. That being said, Skip Holtz is a great coach, and this is a very important game for the La Tech season. Think this could be an ugly game.
North Carolina @ Florida St (+13.5, 64)
Earlier in the week, I really wanted to play Florida St. But then I realized I would be placing real money on a really bad team. North Carolina’s offense will be too much and will get margin.
North Carolina -13.5
BC @ Va Tech (-13, 64.5)
Now that Hendon Hooker is playing and if the secondary is a little more healthy, I expect to see this Virginia Tech team at full force. And at full force these are the games that Justin Fuente covers. I will fade BC off a lucky overtime win.
Virginia Tech -13
Georgia @ Alabama (-4.5, 58)
I love Alabama here, with or without Saban. James and I had a long talk about Alabama and this game on the pod that I think you should all listen to!
ROLL TIDE -4.5, Over 58